Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.000152 0.000168 0.000185 0.000205 0.000228 0.000252 0.000280
2025-08-31 0.000118 0.000140 0.000166 0.000199 0.000238 0.000285 0.000346
2025-09-07 0.000100 0.000126 0.000157 0.000199 0.000254 0.000323 0.000418
2025-09-14 0.000089 0.000117 0.000153 0.000203 0.000272 0.000364 0.000498
2025-09-21 0.000078 0.000107 0.000144 0.000199 0.000278 0.000388 0.000558
2025-09-28 0.000069 0.000096 0.000134 0.000191 0.000277 0.000402 0.000603
2025-10-05 0.000064 0.000092 0.000132 0.000194 0.000291 0.000438 0.000685
2025-10-12 0.000060 0.000089 0.000131 0.000199 0.000308 0.000480 0.000782
2025-10-19 0.000055 0.000083 0.000126 0.000196 0.000312 0.000502 0.000848
2025-10-26 0.000052 0.000080 0.000124 0.000198 0.000326 0.000540 0.000945
2025-11-02 0.000048 0.000076 0.000120 0.000196 0.000330 0.000564 0.001019
2025-11-09 0.000045 0.000072 0.000117 0.000196 0.000338 0.000593 0.001107
2025-11-16 0.000042 0.000068 0.000112 0.000193 0.000342 0.000617 0.001191
2025-11-23 0.000038 0.000063 0.000106 0.000186 0.000338 0.000628 0.001252
2025-11-30 0.000036 0.000061 0.000104 0.000187 0.000348 0.000664 0.001371
2025-12-07 0.000034 0.000059 0.000103 0.000190 0.000364 0.000715 0.001529
2025-12-14 0.000032 0.000056 0.000100 0.000187 0.000366 0.000737 0.001624
2025-12-21 0.000029 0.000052 0.000094 0.000180 0.000359 0.000740 0.001678
2025-12-28 0.000028 0.000051 0.000093 0.000182 0.000372 0.000789 0.001848
2026-01-04 0.000027 0.000050 0.000094 0.000186 0.000391 0.000850 0.002060
2026-01-11 0.000026 0.000048 0.000091 0.000184 0.000393 0.000875 0.002181
2026-01-18 0.000025 0.000047 0.000090 0.000186 0.000407 0.000929 0.002390
2026-01-25 0.000023 0.000045 0.000088 0.000184 0.000410 0.000957 0.002533